GREAT PACIFIC TRADING GRAIN INFO

About Soybeans (S)

Soybeans are relatively new to the agricultural seen. The importance of Soybeans did not begin to show itself until after the second World War. However, since then Soybeans have become a major crop in world Agriculture. Soybeans are grown primarily for the beans, which are processed into oil and meal. Grown primarily in the Corn Belt states of Illinois, Iowa, Minnesota, Indiana, and Ohio Soybeans are a short bush-like plant.

Besides being grown in predominantly the same area of the country as Corn, Soybeans show a very similar pattern of building and destroying of the crops "risk premium". At the on set of the calendar year, the soybean crop too must deal tax related selling as well as transportation problems. Soybean farmers have a vested interest in postponing their marketing’s into the new year for tax purposes, but typically at the beginning of the year they must begin to transform their supply into cash to finance the impending planting effort. Couple this selling with likelihood that interior waterways, the primary and cheapest way to transport grains, are frozen this time of year. Grain elevators, the middlemen who buy grain from farmers and store it for later sale to consumers, tend to lower their bids for grain during the winter to protect their profit margins as the frozen waterways increase their transportation costs. These forces tend to reach a crescendo in early February, just before field preparation for planting and the rivers begin to thaw. Soybeans tend to bottom a little ahead of the other grains, as the South American Soybean Crop is approaching pollination during January and February and therefore is very susceptible to damage.

Usual Planting Dates for Soybeans
(Top 5 producing States)

State Begin Most Active End
Illinois May 6 May 15 - Jun 9 Jun 16
Iowa May 4 May 14 - Jun 2 Jun 17
Minnesota May 6
May 16 - Jun 3
Jun 23
Indiana May 5 May 15 - Jun 5 Jun 20
Ohio May 5 May 10 - Jun 7 Jun 23

Dates based on the December 1997 USDA Agricultural Statistics Board Usual Planting and Harvesting Dates report

Worries about the South American Crop development as well as potential planting delay fears grip the Soybean market and cause prices to bottom in early February. The bulk of the Soybean planting in the United States is started by May 10th, with planting usually completed by June 23rd. Ideally, planting should be done during mild temperatures with moderate precipitation, so the ground is soft and easily manipulated but firm enough to support the heavy farming equipment. If the temperature is too hot/cold and too much/little precipitation is present then soybean planting can be delayed. Late planted crops, or replanted crops tend to produce lower yields. Planting delays have been a frequent problem over the years, and therefore the market place tends to be justified in building a risk premium this time of year.

Several days after planting, the Soybean plant begins to emerge from the ground. Though the Soybean plant is considered one of the most drought and foul weather resistant crops grown, until its extensive root system develops, the Soybean plant is very vulnerable. The Soybean pant is periodic in nature, so maturity can be tracked on a calendar with accuracy of a few days for each stage of development. After several weeks, the Soybean Plant begins to form buds, which will eventually bloom, setting the stage for pollination.

Soybeans are considered to have bloomed as soon as at least one bloom appears on the plant. Each plant typically has several blooms. The blooming/pollination process is the most critical stage of development of the Soybean crop. Good pollination almost assures a strong plant and good yields. Soybeans tend to pollinate in the second or third week of July. After pollination, the plant begins to form bean pods, which are roughly 1 to 2 inches long and contain 4 to 6 beans. Once the Soybean plant has pollinated, it has developed a vast root system, and is almost impervious to most weather conditions, with the exception of a frost, and therefore the crop is considered "made". The Blooming phase of development typically lasts from early through to late August, with pollination occurring roughly a third of the way through the process.

The Soybean plant is considered to be Setting Pods when pods are developing on the lower nodes with some blooming still occurring on the upper nodes. Because Soybeans have such a vast root system, the soybean plant is able to continue to grow in height, often reaches heights of 72 inches before the Pods are fully developed and the plant begins to deteriorate. Normally, during this stage of development, which last from late July through late September, prices drop precipitously as risk of damage to the crop is minimal.

As the pods develop fully, the lower leaves begin to die as nutrients are used for pod development. Soybeans are considered to be Dropping Leaves when the leaves near the bottom are yellow and dropping, while leaves near the top may still be green, or when leaves are 30% to 50% yellow. Leaves typically drop from late August through early October. At the later stages of Leaf dropping the plant is susceptible to freezes, which can split the pods and damage the crop.

The Soybean harvest usually begins by September 21st, with the most active period being October 1st through October 25th. The Soybean Harvest is normally completed by November 10th. Ideal climatic conditions for harvest of the Soybean crop are moderate to slightly above freezing temperatures with little precipitation. Warm and wet weather can make field work messy, while early heavy snow fall or severe rains can make harvest next to impossible.

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